At the 2011-2012 meeting we made 82 prime wagers and had 25 winners with a profit of $212 (on $2 wagers). Our action play strike rate was 31.30% with average returns of $6.60-1.
On …
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Good luck and good racing!
Johnny B.
May 6th – Day 92
Parting is such sweet sorrow. That says it all, quickly and without fanfare. We had the best meeting ever with our prime plays and with continued perseverance look forward to building on those successes next season. Thanks to Gino and Jimmy for your ongoing invitation to join you in those awesome box seats and a special thanks to Mr. Pick 4, Kevin Pussilano, for selling me on the virtues of his favorite plays and for collaborating with me all season. See you all on Opening Day in December. Good luck and good racing! So it goes…
Please check the official program before wagering.
1st – Devin’s Star (1) was close to par at 7F while soundly beaten in open company in March, then, went 102-91 in last at 8.18F. Today’s par is 93-93. She’s got a clean record and figures strongly with a ground saving trip from PP1. Harlan’s Pepper (5) chased insanely fast EP in last in the SLOP, making par numbers anyway and drops in class today with red hot Huber Villa-Gomez up.
Win 1, Exacta Box 1,5 and Trifectas 1,5/4,6/1,5
2nd – Talk (5) is sub-par, but has the best Quirins at the distance. Allen sticks for winless veteran Ray Tamargo, who hasn’t been shut out at Tampa since Hector was a pup.
Win 5, Saver Exacta 4/5 and Trifectas 5/2,7/2,4,7
3rd – L.G.’s Flash (6) has been flawless at Tampa, making solid EPs and/or above par finals all season and switches to Allen.
Exacta Key 6/Plain 1,2,3,4,8
Early Pick 4….$0.50… 6 WT 2,4,8,9,10 WT 6,7,9 WT 1,2…total wager $15.00
4th – Wynns and Roses (2) was above par in last three and Ubide was 75% ITM with Plain Shortenups in L3T. Corpus Christy Bay (8) went 95-98 in last, today’s par is 88-89. Olivia Twist (10) goes for one of the best Off The Claim trainers at Tampa. Raymond won 40% and was 65% ITM with 1st 3 OC types in L5T (that’s the last five seasons at Tampa).
Exacta Box 2,8,10
5th – Duty Free (6) goes for Mr. Griffith and he tries with FTSs and this 3YO filly went +14 in last 4F work at Sunnyside Farms. Watch out!
Win and Place 6
6th – Capt. Zippounas (2) was par at 11F versus the unstoppable Gold Brew in last, was close to the up and coming Let It Rock in previous, and went 114-102 in a par 102-102 four back for $32K at today’s distance. Drops to this level for first time in six months, where he won two of last three. The Sligo Bay gelding will be all out today.
Win 2 and Exacta Key 2/3,7,11
7th – Runricorun (9) shortens up after making above par EP in last at 7F. He does alright at this level and the bills are piling up. Delightful Nicole (5) drops in class off satisfactory performance in first off the two year layoff.
Win 9 and Saver Exacta 5/9
8th – On an otherwise ordinary Sunday afternoon of racing at Tampa Bay Downs, trainer Will Phipps officially unveiled a 3-year-old filly a lot of people may be talking about later this year. Kentucky-bred Lorelei’s Song (1) sat off a rapid pace set by No Contest before commencing her move at the quarter-pole and proved every bit the best through the stretch, drawing away by a length-and-a-half from Bella Vida to capture the five-furlong, $20,500 maiden special weight affair in 59 seconds flat on a wet-fast surface. After the race, Morale’s eyes widened as he told Phipps he was “sitting on a ton of horse” on the turn. “She (Lorelei’s Song) had been training really well, very professionally, doing everything right and getting bullet workouts on the bridle,” Phipps said. “She hadn’t seen a whip before today.” Lorelei’s Song is by Unbridled’s Song out of Officiate, by Deputy Minister. She was purchased as a yearling two years ago at Keeneland for $325,000 by her owners, Mr. and Mrs. George Sensor, of Camden, S.C. The promising filly gets our support today with Coa up.
Win 1, Exactas 1/5,7 and Trifectas 1/2,8/5,7
Late Pick 4……$0.50…1,7 WT 4,6 8 WT 1,2,5,7,9 WT 2,7….total wager…$30.00
9th – Mom’s Glide (8) improved with Quirin totals of 177-183-187 in last three. In high school they taught us that the next number in this sequence will be a 192 (mas or menos), but another 187 will get the job done.
Win 8
10th – Valter (7) fits here in return to a dash and with Coa up, Broke maiden in turf dash, then, N2L race at 5F on the lawn. Arterburn runner Absolutelystriking (5) has been working well for return and he wins with these at good prices. I would not be surprised to see the son of Smart Strike go home in someone else’s box.
Win 7, Exacta Box 5,7 and Trifectas 5,7/1,10,13/5,7
11th – Forever Zeal (8) made solid Quirins in last three and keys our final play of the meeting. Get Clear (1) gets another try on a FAST track. Win Boy (7), a handy maiden winner likes to run. Allen jumps from our top choice to stay with Senor Habanero (10).
Exacta Key Box 8/1,7,10
Please click on the “Today’s Selections” link above to view this post.
Click on the “2012 Super High Five Rankings for L3T” link above to see the trainers with the greatest percentage of Super High Five finishes in the last three meetings at Tampa.
Click on the “2011 Best Pre-Season Workouts” link above.
Click on the “2012 Quirin Style Pars for the Dirt and the Turf” link above.
Click on the “2011 Trainers Around the Circuit” link above to see how our Tampa Bay Downs trainers have been doing during the off-season.
Click on the ” 2011 Jockeys Around the Circuit” link above to see how our Tampa Bay Downs jockeys have been doing during the off-season.
Click on the “2012 Beyer Style Par Figs and Speed Ratings” link above.
Click on the “2012 Top 50 Multiple Angle Trainer Profiles” link above.
Click on the “2012 Par Times for the Dirt and the Turf” above.
Click on the “2012 Bomb Maker Angle Reports” link above.
Click on the “2012 Non-Leader Claiming Trainers ROI Report” link above. Claiming stats for the top 50 leading trainers are now found in their respective “Trainer Profiles”.
Click on the “2012 Jockeys ROI Report” link above.
Click on the link above for my February and March 2012 Jockey of the Month
Click on the link above for my February & March 2012 Trainer of the Month
Click on the “2012 Trainer/Jockey Combination Reports” link above.
Click on the “Quinella Fair Value Table” link above.
Click on the “Exacta Fair Value Table” link above.
Click on the “Daily Double Fair Value Table” link above.
Click on the “Exotic Wager Calculator” link above.
Click on the “2012 Brohamer Style Track Profile” link above.
Click on the “2012 Final Fraction Par Times for the Turf” link above.
Click on the “2012 Bullet Workout Par Times” link above.
Click on the “2012 Comparative Track Equalization and Purse Values” link above.
Click on the “Pre-Race Body Language Primer” link above.
Follow us on Twitter @tamselections for real time changes to today’s selections. Recent action play highlights: May 6th – 4th $12 Exacta wager returned $43.80, May 5th – 3rd $8 Exacta wager returned $31.80, May 4th …
Trip Notes with my personal observations can be found here. They will be updated regularly throughout the season. (Click on “Trip Notes” above.)